The effect of ozone depletion on the Southern Annular Mode a

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TitleThe effect of ozone depletion on the Southern Annular Mode and stratosphere-troposphere couplingAbstractThe aim of this study is to investigate the influence of ozone depletion and recovery on the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Using the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research-United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosols chemistry-climate model, we compare reference runs that include forcing due to greenhouse gases and ozone-depleting substances to sensitivity simulations in which ozone-depleting substances are fixed at their 1960 levels. We find that ozone depletion leads to an increased frequency of extreme anomalies and increased persistence of the SAM in the stratosphere as well as stronger, more persistent stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Currently, the stratosphere provides an appreciable amount of predictability to the troposphere on timescales of 1 or 2 months; however, we find that this effect reduces over time as stratospheric ozone recovers to preozone hole levels toward the latter part of this century. Â© 2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

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1st AuthorDennison, F. AuthorDennison, F.McDonald, A.Morgenstern, O.Year2015JournalJournal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVolume120Number13Pages8-JanDOI10.1002/2014JD023009URLhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/recor.....7aaa9ba11fbcbb3c09582fdc3PublisherBlackwell Publishing LtdKeywordsatmospheric chemistryclimate modelingclimate predictiongreenhouse gasozonestratosphere-troposphere interaction, United KingdomAuthor Keywordsannular modecouplingozoneSAMstratosphereProgrammeK055 - Dynamics in the Antarctic Middle Atmosphere - MF calibration

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CitationDennison, F., McDonald, A. and Morgenstern, O. (2015). The effect of ozone depletion on the Southern Annular Mode and stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 120(13): 1-8